The salvation of diesel and gasoline, which could delay its ban

The salvation of diesel and gasoline, which could delay its ban

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There is a very traditional saying that says that whoever makes the law, cheats. The European Union has sentenced internal combustion to death. As of 2035, diesel cars and gasoline should not be sold. Although it is true, a small loophole has been left. A clause that, in effect, is nothing other than the trap that would allow the European Union to review its objectivesin pursuit of greater laxity towards manufacturers and to delay the end of internal combustion, but also to impose even more rigid and ambitious objectives.

We have already told you how throughout 2022 the European Union was leaving some margin for internal combustion. First, admitting the possibility that cars with internal combustion engines will continue to be sold beyond 2035, as long as they are “neutral”. This would imply the guarantee that the internal combustion cars that are sold from then on will work solely and exclusively using neutral synthetic fuels.

But what is truly relevant for diesel and gasoline cars comes with the 2026 clause.

The European Union advocates for increasingly ambitious emission reduction targets, but also for leaving some doors open that allow these targets to be reviewed – towards more lax regulations – in the coming years

Leaving room to review the ban on diesel and gasoline

In recent years, the decarbonization objectives have been reviewed, and these are still subject to possible future modifications, based on the regulation 2019/631. As we told you, throughout 2022 modifications have been introduced, such as the one that introduces the possibility of using neutral synthetic fuels and which, according to the latest documents drawn up by the European Commission, establishes the following:

After consultation with stakeholders, the Commission will make a proposal to allow beyond 2035 the registration of vehicles that run exclusively on neutral synthetic fuels in accordance with European Union law, outside the scope of emission reduction targets of fleet and in accordance with the objectives of climate neutrality of the European Union.

We have already told you why this solution can hardly be a generalized alternative that allows the massive sale of neutral internal combustion cars and, probably, is limited to maintaining a series of special or iconic vehicles that continue to use a combustion engine on the market. internal.

The sale of “neutral” internal combustion cars will be allowed beyond 2035

Clause 2026, a breather from diesel and gasoline?

We have also told you how some voices in the European Union have already expressed concern about an untimely death of diesel and gasoline. Being aware that the die is cast for internal combustion and that by 2035 they will only be able to sell electric cars, many manufacturers have brought forward their electrification goals and will have a fully electric catalog much sooner. Without a domestic market for internal combustion, those manufacturers will also stop producing cars with internal combustion engines before, or well before, 2035.

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The European Union fears that stopping manufacturing cars with internal combustion engines implies the loss of exports and thousands of jobs. And it is precisely there where the 2026 clause comes into play, which not only intends to review compliance with the decarbonisation objectives in that year, but will also take into account its economic viability and its social consequences.

In 2026, compliance with the decarbonization objectives will be reviewed and a report will also be issued that reflects its economic consequences and its impact on social justice.

The revision clause in 2026 has been established as an amendment that revises article 15, and that establishes the following:

The Commission will review, in 2026, the effectiveness and impact of this regulation, on the basis of the biennial reports, and present a report to the European Parliament and the Council with the results of the review. The Commission shall in particular assess the progress made under this Regulation to achieve the emission reduction targets in accordance with Article 1(5a), and taking into account technological developments, including plug-in hybrid technology, and the importance of a transition towards zero emissions economically viable and socially just.

In an interview with the French media The echoesThierry Breton, European Commissioner for the Internal Market and Services, pointed out that this clause would make it possible to create mechanisms to delay the objective of prohibiting the sale of diesel and gasoline in 2035 (Automotive News).

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And that this option should not be taboo, and should be considered in 2026 if necessary. Especially if it is observed that the objectives established today are having negative consequences on the economy and society of the members of the Union.

There is no going back, European manufacturers have already started their transition to electric and will stop selling diesel and gasoline, in many cases, before 2035

There is no going back to the end of diesel and gasoline

According to the events, it would be somewhat naive to think that the targets for banning diesel and gasoline sales by 2035 are going to be revised. Or at least that important revisions are going to be established, beyond specific moratoriums. But the big problem is that there is no turning back for the end of diesel and gasoline and manufacturers have not only accepted this prohibition, but have already begun a path that will not be reversed, in many cases advancing their objectives.

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Despite the fact that many manufacturers have shown their concern regarding the transition that has already begun, we have already seen how the largest manufacturers on the continent have set a date for the end of diesel and gasoline sales. Volkswagen confirmed a few months ago that in 2033 they will only sell electric cars. And far from demanding moratoriums or a delay in the established deadlines, they are asking the European Union to carry out more forceful and decisive actions that go along the lines of promoting the purchase of electric cars, their production in Europe, and facilitating their use. , for example promoting the creation of cargo networks in the community territory.

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